Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Adam wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adam 42.8% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adam 79.6%
Defensive zone
Adam 77.1%
Neutral zone
Adam 80.9%
Result
Luke Adam favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Adam
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Adam
O'Reilly
Last 5: Adam 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Adam
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Adam
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Adam
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adam
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (377)
56.2% (15,260)
-15.9%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
58.8% (3,445)
-8.8%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Adam is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Adam shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Adam
O'Reilly
Home
44.9% (187)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
37.6% (218)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Adam
O'Reilly
P1
42.1%
55.6%
P2
37.9%
57.0%
P3
43.2%
55.1%
OT
0.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
45.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
41.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 14:16 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |