Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Adam wins 29.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adam 41.6% vs O'Reilly 51.6% (-17.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adam 82.9%
Defensive zone
Adam 69.3%
Neutral zone
Adam 74.0%
Result
Luke Adam favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Adam
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Adam
O'Reilly
Last 5: Adam 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Adam
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Adam
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Adam
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adam
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
34.2% (117)
53.4% (770)
-19.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.6% (54)
+44.4%
On power play, Adam has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Adam is 29.3% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Adam shoots left. O'Reilly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Adam
O'Reilly
Home
34.8% (46)
53.5% (533)
Away
34.2% (73)
50.0% (492)
By Period
Adam
O'Reilly
P1
34.0%
50.8%
P2
37.5%
52.4%
P3
32.3%
51.6%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
34.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 14:16 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |