Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +19.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Glendening 56.3% (-19.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 91.9%
Defensive zone
Glendening 54.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 77.9%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Hughes
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hughes
Glendening
Last 5: Hughes 1-4 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
3
Hughes
Glendening
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
Hughes
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
58.6% (703)
-20.7%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
57.9% (19)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
49.7% (159)
-13.3%
On power play, Glendening has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Hughes shoots left. Glendening is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Hughes
Glendening
Home
36.6% (314)
54.3% (468)
Away
38.5% (353)
60.0% (413)
By Period
Hughes
Glendening
P1
36.4%
58.2%
P2
35.6%
57.6%
P3
41.8%
56.0%
OT
0.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
36.4%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |