Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.3% vs Glendening 51.7% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 58.7%
Defensive zone
Glendening 87.3%
Neutral zone
Glendening 65.7%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Thornton
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Thornton
Glendening
Last 8: Thornton 2-6 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Glendening
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
3
Thornton
Glendening
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
3
Thornton
Glendening
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (722)
56.1% (675)
+2.6%
Power Play
58.5% (147)
61.1% (18)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
40.5% (269)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Thornton is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Thornton shoots left. Glendening is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Thornton
Glendening
Home
60.1% (496)
51.6% (496)
Away
55.8% (459)
52.1% (466)
By Period
Thornton
Glendening
P1
60.4%
53.0%
P2
54.7%
50.8%
P3
58.2%
51.8%
OT
61.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.0%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |