Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 51.1% vs Glendening 55.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 82.3%
Defensive zone
Glendening 78.9%
Neutral zone
Bailey 52.5%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Bailey
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Bailey
Glendening
Last 6: Bailey 3-3 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
3
0
Bailey
Glendening
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
3
Bailey
Glendening
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (236)
56.9% (961)
-5.6%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
53.1% (32)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
49.7% (189)
-24.7%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Bailey is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Bailey shoots left. Glendening is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Bailey
Glendening
Home
55.0% (140)
57.0% (588)
Away
47.7% (132)
54.4% (594)
By Period
Bailey
Glendening
P1
57.1%
54.6%
P2
50.0%
56.0%
P3
47.8%
56.3%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.5%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
51.5%
Glendening
66.0%▲
49.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |