Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Carlsson wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 45.0% vs Glendening 51.8% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 85.8%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 62.0%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 73.3%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Carlsson
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Carlsson
Glendening
Last 8: Carlsson 2-6 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
0
Carlsson
Glendening
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
5
Carlsson
Glendening
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
Carlsson
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (661)
53.5% (404)
-8.0%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
100.0% (4)
-53.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
46.8% (141)
-13.5%
On power play, Glendening has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Carlsson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Carlsson shoots left. Glendening is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Glendening
Home
42.5% (428)
46.9% (241)
Away
46.4% (399)
56.2% (308)
By Period
Carlsson
Glendening
P1
45.4%
50.6%
P2
39.7%
51.8%
P3
48.5%
52.9%
OT
41.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
39.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |