Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.4% vs Barzal 42.9% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 81.6%
Defensive zone
Glendening 75.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 55.3%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Glendening
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Glendening
Barzal
Last 5: Glendening 2-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Glendening
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
2
1
Glendening
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (509)
40.7% (514)
+17.8%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
58.3% (24)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (164)
50.0% (10)
-0.6%
On even strength, Glendening has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Glendening is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Glendening shoots right. Barzal is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Glendening
Barzal
Home
53.8% (342)
43.0% (279)
Away
58.4% (358)
40.1% (269)
By Period
Glendening
Barzal
P1
55.7%
41.2%
P2
52.8%
46.4%
P3
59.5%
37.1%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:36 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |