Scouting Report
Luke Johnson holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 50.3% vs Marleau 47.8% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Marleau 54.8%
Defensive zone
Johnson 77.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 55.4%
Result
Luke Johnson favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Johnson
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Johnson
Marleau
Last 10: Johnson 6-4 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
2
Johnson
Marleau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
9
1
Johnson
Marleau
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Johnson
Marleau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (85)
46.0% (274)
+5.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.1% (14)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
58.3% (12)
-58.3%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Johnson is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Johnson shoots right. Marleau is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Johnson
Marleau
Home
36.4% (22)
46.9% (209)
Away
55.4% (65)
47.3% (91)
By Period
Johnson
Marleau
P1
65.4%
51.0%
P2
47.8%
47.1%
P3
42.1%
43.8%
Final 5 min
37.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 11:35 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |