Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 49.5% vs Smith 48.7% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Smith 52.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 50.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.2%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Johnson
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (202)
49.0% (769)
+2.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
63.6% (22)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (20)
42.4% (118)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Johnson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Johnson shoots right. Smith is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Johnson
Smith
Home
53.7% (67)
52.4% (490)
Away
47.5% (158)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Johnson
Smith
P1
53.8%
46.9%
P2
53.8%
51.2%
P3
39.1%
47.7%
Final 5 min
42.4%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%