Scouting Report
Luke Johnson holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 49.5% vs Jost 40.5% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 53.8%
Defensive zone
Johnson 51.0%
Neutral zone
Jost 56.1%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Johnson
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Johnson
Jost
Last 6: Johnson 3-3 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johnson
Jost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Johnson
Jost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (202)
41.0% (2,014)
+10.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
34.2% (73)
+32.5%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (20)
35.3% (255)
-5.3%
On power play, Johnson has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Johnson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Johnson shoots right. Jost is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (876).
Home / Away
Johnson
Jost
Home
53.7% (67)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
47.5% (158)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Johnson
Jost
P1
53.8%
38.5%
P2
53.8%
41.2%
P3
39.1%
40.9%
Final 5 min
42.4%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 06:55 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 1 | 04:46 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |