Scouting Report
Luke Johnson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 50.3% vs Jost 47.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 61.0%
Defensive zone
Johnson 53.2%
Neutral zone
Jost 60.3%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Johnson
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Johnson
Jost
Last 5: Johnson 2-3 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Johnson
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Johnson
Jost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (85)
47.7% (287)
+4.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
62.5% (8)
-62.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
39.2% (51)
-39.2%
On power play, Jost has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Johnson is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Johnson shoots right. Jost is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Johnson
Jost
Home
36.4% (22)
49.5% (190)
Away
55.4% (65)
43.6% (156)
By Period
Johnson
Jost
P1
65.4%
43.2%
P2
47.8%
52.5%
P3
42.1%
44.5%
Final 5 min
37.0%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 06:55 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |