Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kunin wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 48.1% vs Johansen 55.1% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 59.5%
Defensive zone
Kunin 53.5%
Neutral zone
Johansen 50.4%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Kunin
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kunin
Johansen
Last 5: Kunin 2-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Kunin
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (49)
55.9% (1,157)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
43.3% (67)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Kunin has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Kunin is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Kunin shoots right. Johansen is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Kunin
Johansen
Home
50.0% (32)
55.8% (733)
Away
36.4% (22)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Kunin
Johansen
P1
54.2%
53.5%
P2
26.7%
55.9%
P3
46.7%
57.2%
Final 5 min
41.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
44.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |