Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kunin wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.0% vs Johansen 53.3% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 55.2%
Defensive zone
Kunin 62.7%
Neutral zone
Kunin 51.9%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Kunin
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Kunin
Johansen
Last 10: Kunin 5-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kunin
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kunin
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Kunin
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (168)
54.7% (1,149)
-14.2%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
49.7% (191)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (14)
47.9% (121)
+9.2%
On power play, Kunin has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Kunin is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Kunin shoots right. Johansen is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Kunin
Johansen
Home
38.9% (113)
52.5% (739)
Away
50.6% (87)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Kunin
Johansen
P1
47.2%
53.8%
P2
47.6%
55.8%
P3
37.5%
51.2%
OT
0.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
32.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
44.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 3, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 00:10 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |