Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kunin wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs Nosek 53.6% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Kunin leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 77.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 87.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 84.0%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 82.2%
17.8%
82.2%
Kunin
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Kunin
Nosek
Last 10: Kunin 7-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kunin
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
2
1
Kunin
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
3
0
Kunin
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (1,622)
54.9% (2,674)
-7.8%
Power Play
46.4% (138)
44.7% (47)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (333)
47.4% (424)
-7.2%
On even strength, Nosek has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kunin is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,511).
Kunin shoots right. Nosek is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Kunin
Nosek
Home
45.5% (1,048)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
46.4% (1,045)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Kunin
Nosek
P1
47.9%
52.3%
P2
45.7%
54.0%
P3
43.9%
54.6%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |