Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Celebrini 48.4% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 83.5%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 83.8%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 84.6%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 83.6%
16.4%
83.6%
Horvat
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Horvat
Celebrini
Last 8: Horvat 1-7 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
5
Horvat
Celebrini
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
2
Horvat
Celebrini
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
47.2% (901)
+11.4%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
54.7% (139)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
54.5% (11)
-8.8%
On even strength, Horvat has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Home / Away
Horvat
Celebrini
Home
59.2% (684)
47.6% (553)
Away
57.0% (635)
49.0% (498)
By Period
Horvat
Celebrini
P1
57.9%
46.6%
P2
55.4%
46.4%
P3
61.5%
51.8%
OT
53.8%
41.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |