Macklin Celebrini vs Mikael Granlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.2%). Look for Celebrini on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.9% vs Granlund 48.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 55.7%
Defensive zone
Granlund 53.6%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 50.2%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Celebrini
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Celebrini
Granlund
Last 9: Celebrini 8-1 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
1
Celebrini
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
4
0
Celebrini
Granlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
0
Celebrini
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (924)
48.7% (446)
-0.5%
Power Play
52.8% (108)
56.6% (99)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
31.1% (61)
+24.9%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Celebrini shoots left. Granlund is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Granlund
Home
47.8% (523)
53.3% (255)
Away
49.8% (534)
44.4% (351)
By Period
Celebrini
Granlund
P1
47.8%
51.3%
P2
47.4%
48.8%
P3
51.1%
44.4%
OT
57.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 11, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |