Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Goc 52.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 24-17 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 51.9%
Defensive zone
Goc 70.1%
Neutral zone
Goc 53.2%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Henrique
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
17
(41 meetings)
24
17
Henrique
Goc
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
8
5
Henrique
Goc
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
6
8
Henrique
Goc
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
10
4
Henrique
Goc
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
53.0% (3,301)
-2.2%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
58.0% (314)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
47.4% (728)
-1.2%
On power play, Goc has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Home / Away
Henrique
Goc
Home
52.5% (6,418)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Henrique
Goc
P1
50.6%
51.9%
P2
51.4%
53.1%
P3
50.2%
52.4%
OT
40.6%
44.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 30, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |