Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 51.3% vs Goc 53.8% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 60.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 52.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 59.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Horvat
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Horvat
Goc
Last 6: Horvat 2-4 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
1
Horvat
Goc
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
2
Horvat
Goc
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Goc
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (743)
54.5% (512)
-2.4%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
65.0% (20)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
52.3% (153)
-7.4%
On power play, Goc has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Horvat is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Horvat shoots left. Goc is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Horvat
Goc
Home
53.1% (420)
57.2% (383)
Away
49.8% (428)
50.7% (302)
By Period
Horvat
Goc
P1
52.4%
53.9%
P2
49.3%
51.2%
P3
52.8%
58.5%
OT
42.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
51.4%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 12:27 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |