Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 49.9%). Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 50.5% vs Goc 49.9% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 51.7%
Defensive zone
Goc 55.5%
Neutral zone
Goc 50.1%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Richardson
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Richardson
Goc
Last 7: Richardson 2-5 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
2
Richardson
Goc
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
2
Richardson
Goc
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Goc
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (167)
50.3% (590)
+2.4%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
47.3% (55)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
46.2% (39)
-26.2%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Richardson is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Richardson shoots left. Goc is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Richardson
Goc
Home
46.2% (104)
52.7% (283)
Away
57.1% (77)
48.0% (410)
By Period
Richardson
Goc
P1
50.0%
50.7%
P2
50.7%
50.7%
P3
52.2%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
50.8%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |