Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.0% vs Goc 53.8% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 50.2%
Defensive zone
Goc 85.1%
Neutral zone
Goc 50.5%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Lazar
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lazar
Goc
Last 5: Lazar 3-2 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
1
Lazar
Goc
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
1
Lazar
Goc
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
0
Lazar
Goc
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (242)
54.5% (512)
-5.7%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
65.0% (20)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
24.0% (25)
52.3% (153)
-28.3%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Lazar is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Lazar shoots right. Goc is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Lazar
Goc
Home
48.5% (132)
57.2% (383)
Away
46.1% (141)
50.7% (302)
By Period
Lazar
Goc
P1
47.0%
53.9%
P2
44.0%
51.2%
P3
52.9%
58.5%
OT
20.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
47.3%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |