Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Goc 52.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Goc leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 62.7%
Defensive zone
Backes 52.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 56.5%
Result
David Backes favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Backes
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
19
(30 meetings)
11
19
Backes
Goc
Last 10: Backes 4-6 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
6
11
Backes
Goc
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
4
5
Backes
Goc
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
1
3
Backes
Goc
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
53.0% (3,301)
-1.9%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
58.0% (314)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
47.4% (728)
+0.0%
On power play, Goc has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Goc is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,607).
Home / Away
Backes
Goc
Home
50.6% (3,936)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Backes
Goc
P1
50.1%
51.9%
P2
51.5%
53.1%
P3
50.8%
52.4%
OT
42.9%
44.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |