Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Goc 51.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 64.5%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 71.9%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 66.2%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Nielsen
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Nielsen
Goc
Last 9: Nielsen 2-7 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
3
Nielsen
Goc
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Goc
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
0
3
Nielsen
Goc
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (392)
51.3% (591)
-1.3%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
62.8% (78)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (146)
49.6% (117)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Nielsen is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Nielsen shoots left. Goc is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Goc
Home
48.9% (274)
51.1% (393)
Away
47.2% (284)
53.2% (393)
By Period
Nielsen
Goc
P1
47.9%
51.0%
P2
49.7%
57.8%
P3
46.3%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
47.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |