Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.1% vs Goc 53.1% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 61.1%
Defensive zone
Goc 60.2%
Neutral zone
Goc 55.3%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Larsson
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Larsson
Goc
Last 6: Larsson 3-3 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
2
Larsson
Goc
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Goc
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Goc
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (258)
55.5% (881)
-7.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
54.3% (92)
-25.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
45.8% (260)
-5.8%
On power play, Goc has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Larsson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Larsson shoots left. Goc is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (801).
Home / Away
Larsson
Goc
Home
46.8% (154)
53.6% (552)
Away
48.1% (131)
53.2% (681)
By Period
Larsson
Goc
P1
50.5%
54.6%
P2
48.5%
52.7%
P3
43.2%
52.9%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
47.4%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 12:05 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |