Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.2% vs Goc 53.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 88.9%
Defensive zone
Goc 68.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 69.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Toews
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Toews
Goc
Last 5: Toews 4-1 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
1
Toews
Goc
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (1,229)
54.5% (512)
+0.4%
Power Play
62.7% (354)
65.0% (20)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (92)
52.3% (153)
+2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Toews is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,050).
Toews shoots left. Goc is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Toews
Goc
Home
57.6% (838)
57.2% (383)
Away
55.4% (837)
50.7% (302)
By Period
Toews
Goc
P1
58.0%
53.9%
P2
54.4%
51.2%
P3
56.7%
58.5%
OT
64.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.5%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |