Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.6% vs Goc 51.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 54.0%
Defensive zone
Goc 77.7%
Neutral zone
Goc 56.7%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Jokinen
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Jokinen
Goc
Last 9: Jokinen 3-6 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
0
Jokinen
Goc
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
3
Jokinen
Goc
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
0
3
Jokinen
Goc
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (661)
52.3% (727)
+2.6%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
63.8% (69)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (65)
44.0% (159)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Jokinen is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (552).
Jokinen shoots left. Goc is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Goc
Home
58.0% (414)
54.7% (468)
Away
52.4% (418)
48.8% (510)
By Period
Jokinen
Goc
P1
52.8%
48.9%
P2
53.9%
53.0%
P3
57.5%
52.4%
OT
84.6%
60.9%
Final 5 min
58.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 00:44 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 10:06 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |