Scouting Report
Kyle Wellwood holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wellwood on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wellwood wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wellwood 52.9% vs Goc 51.5% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wellwood 80.3%
Defensive zone
Goc 87.4%
Neutral zone
Goc 52.2%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Wellwood
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Wellwood
Goc
Last 7: Wellwood 3-4 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wellwood
3
0
Wellwood
Goc
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
3
Wellwood
Goc
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
0
1
Wellwood
Goc
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wellwood
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (184)
52.3% (727)
-0.1%
Power Play
58.7% (63)
63.8% (69)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.0% (159)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Wellwood has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Wellwood is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Wellwood shoots right. Goc is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Wellwood
Goc
Home
57.4% (141)
54.7% (468)
Away
49.5% (109)
48.8% (510)
By Period
Wellwood
Goc
P1
44.3%
48.9%
P2
63.6%
53.0%
P3
53.2%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wellwood
54.0%▼
58.0%
54.0%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 31, 2011 | OT | 04:42 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |