Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 52.3% vs Hendricks 53.3% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 55.4%
Defensive zone
Goc 51.7%
Neutral zone
Goc 51.1%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Goc
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Goc
Hendricks
Last 8: Goc 4-4 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
1
Goc
Hendricks
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
2
3
Goc
Hendricks
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (3,301)
55.0% (1,616)
-2.0%
Power Play
58.0% (314)
52.6% (38)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (728)
48.4% (446)
-1.0%
On power play, Goc has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Goc shoots left. Hendricks is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,233).
Home / Away
Goc
Hendricks
Home
53.9% (2,079)
52.6% (1,023)
Away
51.0% (2,296)
54.3% (1,080)
By Period
Goc
Hendricks
P1
51.9%
53.2%
P2
53.1%
53.3%
P3
52.4%
53.6%
OT
44.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 02:43 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |