Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goc wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 51.9% vs Hendricks 54.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 61.9%
Defensive zone
Goc 55.5%
Neutral zone
Goc 55.8%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Goc
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Goc
Hendricks
Last 5: Goc 2-3 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goc
Hendricks
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
2
Goc
Hendricks
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (591)
55.3% (197)
-4.0%
Power Play
62.8% (78)
50.0% (2)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (117)
61.7% (60)
-12.1%
On power play, Goc has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Goc is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Goc shoots left. Hendricks is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Goc
Hendricks
Home
51.1% (393)
55.3% (123)
Away
53.2% (393)
58.1% (136)
By Period
Goc
Hendricks
P1
51.0%
58.7%
P2
57.8%
49.5%
P3
48.7%
63.2%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.2%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 02:43 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |