Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 52.3% vs Lombardi 48.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 61.3%
Defensive zone
Goc 89.9%
Neutral zone
Goc 77.6%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Goc
Lombardi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Goc
Lombardi
Last 5: Goc 4-1 Lombardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
0
Goc
Lombardi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
1
Goc
Lombardi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
1
0
Goc
Lombardi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Lombardi
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (3,301)
49.3% (489)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.0% (314)
39.6% (48)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (728)
36.4% (33)
+11.0%
On power play, Goc has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lombardi shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Goc shoots left. Lombardi is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Goc
Lombardi
Home
53.9% (2,079)
47.4% (304)
Away
51.0% (2,296)
47.9% (267)
By Period
Goc
Lombardi
P1
51.9%
49.0%
P2
53.1%
49.5%
P3
52.4%
44.0%
OT
44.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Lombardi
46.0%▲
43.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |