Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goc wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Lombardi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 51.5% vs Lombardi 49.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 55.6%
Defensive zone
Goc 86.2%
Neutral zone
Goc 72.1%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Goc
Lombardi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Goc
Lombardi
Last 5: Goc 4-1 Lombardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
0
Goc
Lombardi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
1
Goc
Lombardi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
1
0
Goc
Lombardi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Lombardi
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (727)
50.8% (260)
+1.5%
Power Play
63.8% (69)
47.4% (19)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (159)
38.5% (26)
+5.5%
On power play, Goc has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lombardi shoots left. Goc is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Goc shoots left. Lombardi is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Goc
Lombardi
Home
54.7% (468)
49.2% (177)
Away
48.8% (510)
49.6% (129)
By Period
Goc
Lombardi
P1
48.9%
49.5%
P2
53.0%
53.9%
P3
52.4%
45.1%
OT
60.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.6%
Lombardi
46.0%▲
43.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |