Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 51.6%). Look for Chaput on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 52.3% vs Chaput 51.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 52.6%
Defensive zone
Goc 60.2%
Neutral zone
Goc 50.7%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Goc
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Goc
Chaput
Last 6: Goc 3-3 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
0
Goc
Chaput
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
0
1
Goc
Chaput
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
2
Goc
Chaput
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (3,301)
52.2% (1,168)
+0.8%
Power Play
58.0% (314)
42.9% (14)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (728)
42.9% (70)
+4.5%
On power play, Goc has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Goc shoots left. Chaput is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Home / Away
Goc
Chaput
Home
53.9% (2,079)
53.5% (602)
Away
51.0% (2,296)
49.8% (650)
By Period
Goc
Chaput
P1
51.9%
48.6%
P2
53.1%
51.6%
P3
52.4%
54.5%
Final 5 min
53.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |