Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 53.8% vs Chaput 49.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chaput 50.8%
Defensive zone
Goc 62.0%
Neutral zone
Chaput 57.4%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Goc
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Goc
Chaput
Last 6: Goc 3-3 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
0
Goc
Chaput
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
0
1
Goc
Chaput
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
2
Goc
Chaput
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (512)
48.4% (273)
+6.1%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
50.0% (2)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
52.3% (153)
52.6% (19)
-0.3%
On power play, Goc has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Goc is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Goc shoots left. Chaput is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Goc
Chaput
Home
57.2% (383)
47.0% (132)
Away
50.7% (302)
50.0% (162)
By Period
Goc
Chaput
P1
53.9%
41.8%
P2
51.2%
54.4%
P3
58.5%
47.5%
Final 5 min
57.7%
61.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |