Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goc wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 53.1% vs Zibanejad 46.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 89.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 56.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 69.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Goc
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Goc
Zibanejad
Last 6: Goc 1-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Goc
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Goc
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Goc
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (881)
48.8% (334)
+6.7%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
36.4% (55)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (260)
0.0% (8)
+45.8%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Goc is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Goc shoots left. Zibanejad is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Goc
Zibanejad
Home
53.6% (552)
47.3% (203)
Away
53.2% (681)
44.8% (194)
By Period
Goc
Zibanejad
P1
54.6%
44.8%
P2
52.7%
44.8%
P3
52.9%
49.5%
OT
52.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |