Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.9%). Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Goc wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 53.1% vs Richards 53.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 80.8%
Defensive zone
Goc 66.8%
Neutral zone
Richards 54.0%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Goc
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Goc
Richards
Last 5: Goc 4-1 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
3
0
Goc
Richards
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Goc
Richards
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (881)
53.2% (752)
+2.3%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
56.5% (85)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (260)
58.6% (70)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Goc is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (801).
Goc shoots left. Richards is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Goc
Richards
Home
53.6% (552)
57.0% (444)
Away
53.2% (681)
51.0% (463)
By Period
Goc
Richards
P1
54.6%
53.4%
P2
52.7%
55.8%
P3
52.9%
51.9%
OT
52.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2014 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 3 | 12:28 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |