Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goc wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 53.1% vs Santorelli 51.1% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 50.1%
Defensive zone
Goc 65.5%
Neutral zone
Goc 60.7%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Goc
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Goc
Santorelli
Last 5: Goc 3-2 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
1
Goc
Santorelli
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
0
Goc
Santorelli
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
1
Goc
Santorelli
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (881)
50.5% (333)
+5.0%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
55.4% (56)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (260)
53.3% (30)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Santorelli has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Goc is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Goc shoots left. Santorelli is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
Goc
Santorelli
Home
53.6% (552)
54.2% (179)
Away
53.2% (681)
49.2% (240)
By Period
Goc
Santorelli
P1
54.6%
49.6%
P2
52.7%
51.8%
P3
52.9%
52.7%
OT
52.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2013 | OT | 04:56 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |