Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Goc wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 53.1% vs Koivu 54.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Goc leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 79.5%
Defensive zone
Goc 72.0%
Neutral zone
Goc 53.7%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Goc
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Goc
Koivu
Last 10: Goc 9-1 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
3
0
Goc
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
5
0
Goc
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
3
Goc
Koivu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (881)
54.0% (948)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
58.7% (225)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (260)
54.3% (138)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Goc is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (801).
Goc shoots left. Koivu is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Goc
Koivu
Home
53.6% (552)
59.8% (669)
Away
53.2% (681)
49.7% (642)
By Period
Goc
Koivu
P1
54.6%
53.4%
P2
52.7%
56.2%
P3
52.9%
56.3%
OT
52.6%
36.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 19, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 19, 2013 | OT | 04:15 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 12:37 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |