Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 52.3% vs MacKinnon 46.7% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 79.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 65.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Goc
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Goc
MacKinnon
Last 8: Goc 2-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Goc
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Goc
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Goc
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (3,301)
46.0% (11,051)
+7.0%
Power Play
58.0% (314)
53.2% (1,394)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (728)
42.9% (499)
+4.5%
On even strength, Goc has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Goc is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,607).
Goc shoots left. MacKinnon is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,367).
Home / Away
Goc
MacKinnon
Home
53.9% (2,079)
49.6% (6,342)
Away
51.0% (2,296)
43.9% (6,603)
By Period
Goc
MacKinnon
P1
51.9%
47.4%
P2
53.1%
46.5%
P3
52.4%
45.9%
OT
44.9%
47.7%
Final 5 min
53.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |