Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 49.9% vs Berglund 46.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 57.8%
Defensive zone
Goc 52.5%
Neutral zone
Berglund 55.0%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Goc
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Goc
Berglund
Last 9: Goc 3-6 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Goc
Berglund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goc
Berglund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
3
Goc
Berglund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (590)
47.3% (792)
+3.0%
Power Play
47.3% (55)
42.5% (134)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (39)
42.4% (33)
+3.8%
On power play, Goc has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Goc is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Goc shoots left. Berglund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Goc
Berglund
Home
52.7% (283)
46.8% (477)
Away
48.0% (410)
45.7% (497)
By Period
Goc
Berglund
P1
50.7%
47.1%
P2
50.7%
46.3%
P3
49.8%
45.4%
OT
20.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
49.9%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 24, 2010 | OT | 00:23 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 11, 2010 | OT | 03:18 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |