Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 52.8%). Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Goc wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 53.1% vs Johansen 52.6% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 73.7%
Defensive zone
Goc 59.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Goc
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Goc
Johansen
Last 5: Goc 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Goc
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
1
0
Goc
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (881)
52.5% (1,002)
+3.0%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
56.1% (198)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (260)
49.5% (111)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Goc is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Goc shoots left. Johansen is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Goc
Johansen
Home
53.6% (552)
54.7% (632)
Away
53.2% (681)
51.0% (679)
By Period
Goc
Johansen
P1
54.6%
54.3%
P2
52.7%
53.5%
P3
52.9%
50.9%
OT
52.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 06:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 12:23 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |