Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goc wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 49.9% vs Nichol 57.8% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nichol 52.9%
Defensive zone
Nichol 82.5%
Neutral zone
Nichol 62.7%
Result
Scott Nichol favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Goc
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Goc
Nichol
Last 8: Goc 5-3 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Goc
Nichol
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
1
Goc
Nichol
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
1
0
Goc
Nichol
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (590)
58.6% (394)
-8.3%
Power Play
47.3% (55)
71.4% (7)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (39)
61.5% (78)
-15.3%
On power play, Nichol has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Goc is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Goc shoots left. Nichol is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Goc
Nichol
Home
52.7% (283)
56.1% (246)
Away
48.0% (410)
62.8% (239)
By Period
Goc
Nichol
P1
50.7%
57.7%
P2
50.7%
58.1%
P3
49.8%
62.8%
OT
20.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
49.9%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 05:54 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 08:28 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |