Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 52.3% vs Smith 48.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 75.7%
Defensive zone
Goc 80.7%
Neutral zone
Goc 77.7%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Goc
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Goc
Smith
Last 9: Goc 8-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
1
Goc
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
0
Goc
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
4
0
Goc
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (3,301)
49.0% (769)
+4.0%
Power Play
58.0% (314)
63.6% (22)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (728)
42.4% (118)
+5.0%
On power play, Smith has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Goc shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Goc
Smith
Home
53.9% (2,079)
52.4% (490)
Away
51.0% (2,296)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Goc
Smith
P1
51.9%
46.9%
P2
53.1%
51.2%
P3
52.4%
47.7%
OT
44.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |