Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Goc wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 53.1% vs Smith 46.1% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 80.6%
Defensive zone
Goc 92.8%
Neutral zone
Goc 92.8%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Goc
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Goc
Smith
Last 5: Goc 5-0 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
0
Goc
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
0
Goc
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
3
0
Goc
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (881)
44.7% (244)
+10.8%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
33.3% (6)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (260)
50.0% (8)
-4.2%
On power play, Goc has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Goc is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (801).
Goc shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Goc
Smith
Home
53.6% (552)
51.3% (158)
Away
53.2% (681)
34.0% (100)
By Period
Goc
Smith
P1
54.6%
37.2%
P2
52.7%
53.9%
P3
52.9%
40.8%
OT
52.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |