Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 51.9% vs Brouwer 48.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brouwer 56.5%
Defensive zone
Goc 51.2%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 59.0%
Result
Troy Brouwer favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Goc
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Goc
Brouwer
Last 9: Goc 4-5 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
1
4
Goc
Brouwer
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
0
Goc
Brouwer
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Goc
Brouwer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (591)
50.0% (114)
+1.3%
Power Play
62.8% (78)
49.4% (83)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (117)
37.1% (35)
+12.5%
On power play, Goc has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Goc is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Goc shoots left. Brouwer is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Goc
Brouwer
Home
51.1% (393)
48.0% (123)
Away
53.2% (393)
47.7% (109)
By Period
Goc
Brouwer
P1
51.0%
40.5%
P2
57.8%
47.4%
P3
48.7%
55.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.2%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 15:14 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |