Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ennis on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Goc wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 51.9% vs Ennis 43.6% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ennis 60.9%
Defensive zone
Ennis 60.1%
Neutral zone
Ennis 61.6%
Result
Tyler Ennis favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Goc
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Goc
Ennis
Last 9: Goc 3-6 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ennis
0
3
Goc
Ennis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ennis
1
2
Goc
Ennis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
2
1
Goc
Ennis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (591)
39.8% (329)
+11.5%
Power Play
62.8% (78)
55.6% (45)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (117)
66.7% (3)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Ennis has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Goc is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Goc shoots left. Ennis is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Goc
Ennis
Home
51.1% (393)
44.5% (191)
Away
53.2% (393)
39.2% (186)
By Period
Goc
Ennis
P1
51.0%
42.7%
P2
57.8%
37.7%
P3
48.7%
45.0%
OT
30.8%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.3%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.2%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | OT | 03:24 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 28, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |