Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 53.8% vs Smith 46.2% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 56.2%
Defensive zone
Goc 74.4%
Neutral zone
Goc 71.4%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Goc
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Goc
Smith
Last 5: Goc 3-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goc
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
0
Goc
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Goc
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (512)
44.7% (190)
+9.8%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
40.0% (10)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
52.3% (153)
45.2% (31)
+7.1%
On power play, Goc has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Goc is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Goc shoots left. Smith is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Goc
Smith
Home
57.2% (383)
46.8% (111)
Away
50.7% (302)
42.5% (120)
By Period
Goc
Smith
P1
53.9%
44.6%
P2
51.2%
43.6%
P3
58.5%
46.2%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Zack Smith |