Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kasper shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Kasper 49.8% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 81.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 54.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 75.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Horvat
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Kasper
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Kasper
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Kasper
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (670)
51.1% (350)
+4.1%
Power Play
61.8% (225)
33.3% (9)
+28.5%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (98)
31.6% (19)
+15.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Horvat is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (597).
Horvat shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kasper
Home
58.1% (449)
51.1% (184)
Away
54.0% (544)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Horvat
Kasper
P1
59.2%
53.8%
P2
53.1%
52.2%
P3
55.8%
42.6%
OT
55.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |