Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Blackwell wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.7% vs Rossi 50.4% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 68.6%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 82.5%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 69.6%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Blackwell
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Blackwell
Rossi
Last 5: Blackwell 2-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
3
Blackwell
Rossi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blackwell
2
0
Blackwell
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (172)
52.8% (400)
-4.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
36.1% (36)
-36.1%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (82)
37.0% (27)
-5.3%
On power play, Rossi has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Blackwell is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Blackwell shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Rossi
Home
43.8% (144)
50.0% (242)
Away
41.1% (112)
51.1% (221)
By Period
Blackwell
Rossi
P1
45.3%
54.9%
P2
36.1%
48.7%
P3
46.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
42.6%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |