Scouting Report
Colin Blackwell holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Blackwell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 49.3% vs Rossi 47.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 78.4%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 81.1%
Neutral zone
Rossi 55.1%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Blackwell
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Blackwell
Rossi
Last 5: Blackwell 4-1 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Blackwell
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
4
0
Blackwell
Rossi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (184)
46.5% (879)
+1.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
48.6% (105)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (121)
50.0% (8)
-0.4%
On power play, Blackwell has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Blackwell is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Blackwell shoots right. Rossi is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Rossi
Home
41.7% (151)
47.5% (520)
Away
56.1% (157)
46.0% (472)
By Period
Blackwell
Rossi
P1
46.5%
47.8%
P2
52.4%
44.2%
P3
48.5%
48.7%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
49.0%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |