Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Bonino 50.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 68.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 70.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 53.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Rossi
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Rossi
Bonino
Last 6: Rossi 3-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
0
Rossi
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Rossi
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Rossi
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
50.6% (8,315)
-3.6%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
54.1% (972)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
44.6% (1,693)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Rossi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,529).
Rossi shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Rossi
Bonino
Home
47.8% (1,207)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Rossi
Bonino
P1
47.3%
50.6%
P2
44.8%
48.5%
P3
48.3%
51.1%
OT
45.8%
45.7%
Final 5 min
44.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |