Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Gourde 46.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 69.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 68.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 52.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Rossi
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rossi
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Rossi
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
47.2% (654)
+5.6%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
45.0% (20)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
32.2% (87)
+4.8%
On power play, Gourde has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Rossi shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Rossi
Gourde
Home
50.0% (242)
44.1% (322)
Away
51.1% (221)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Rossi
Gourde
P1
54.9%
42.4%
P2
48.7%
49.8%
P3
47.9%
44.3%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |